Kardashev 101

The Scale

The Kardashev scale, proposed by Soviet astronomer Nikolai Kardashev in 1964, classifies civilizations by their energy consumption.

Type I~1016 W — all energy reaching a planet from its star
Type II~1026 W — total output of a star
Type III~1036 W — energy of an entire galaxy

Where We Are

Humanity currently consumes about 18-20 terawatts. Using Carl Sagan's interpolation formula, this puts us at roughly K = 0.73 on the scale — not yet Type I.

Type I requires harnessing ~1016 watts — roughly 500× our current energy production. At historical growth rates, we might reach Type I in 100-200 years.

See the exact calculation →

Four Pillars

We track progress toward Type I across four domains:

Energy

Capture and conversion. Solar, fusion, grid infrastructure, storage. The fundamental constraint — all other pillars depend on available energy.

Compute

Processing power. AI, chips, data centers. Enables coordination at scale and accelerates progress in other pillars.

Materials

Physical stuff. Batteries, superconductors, advanced alloys. The atoms that make energy capture and compute possible.

Coordination

Governance. Markets, institutions, treaties. How 8 billion humans organize to deploy technology at planetary scale.

Why It Matters

The Kardashev scale provides a physics-grounded framework for thinking about civilization-scale progress. Energy is the ultimate constraint — and the ultimate enabler.

This site tracks real signals of progress toward Type I, grounded in peer-reviewed research and physical constraints.

View current signals →